Alceon staff have published more than 50 articles on risk assessment and risk-related issues in peer-reviewed journals. Many of these articles are listed below, along with relevant papers from colleagues.

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Burmaster, D.E. and K.M. Thompson, "Fitting a Second-Order Parametric Distribution Conditioned on an Explanatory Variable Using Maximum Likelihood Estimation,"Risk Analysis, revised 1 November 1999. download or view as (244k)

Burmaster, D.E., "Distributions of Total Job Tenure for Men and Women in Selected Industries and Occupations in the United States, February 1996," Risk Analysis, revised 12 July 1999. download or view as (112K)

Burmaster, D.E. and A.M. Wilson, "Fitting Second-Order Finite Mixture Models to Data with Many Censored Values Using Maximum Likelihood Estimation,"Risk Analysis, revised 28 June 1999. download or view as (180K)

Cox, L.A., "A Biomathematical Model of Hematotoxicity," Environment International, in press. download or view as (208K)

Cox, L.A., "Internal Dose, Uncertainty Analysis, and Complexity of Risk Models," Environment International, in press. download or view as (96K)

Cox, L.A., "Adaptive Spatial Sampling of Contaminated Soil," Risk Analysis, in press. download or view as (107K)

CARES Team, "Cumulative & Aggregate Risk Evaluation System," CARES Conceptual Model, 8 January 1999. download or view as (138k)

Burmaster, D.E. and K.M. Thompson, " Using Animated Probability Plots to Explore the Suitability of Mixture Models with Two Component Distributions,"Risk Analysis, in press. download or view as (1,164k)

Frey, H.C. and D.E. Burmaster, "Methods for Characterizing Variability and Uncertainty: Comparison of Bootstrap Simulation and Likelihood-Based Approaches," Revised 21 November 1997. download or view as (1,760k)

Crouch, E.A.C., "Aggregate Exposure Assessment--An Approach," Prepared for Subcommittee on Aggregate Exposure Assessment, Health and Environmental Sciences Institute, ILSI. Working Draft. 30 January 1998. download or view as (864k)

Burmaster, D.E., "Software Review of S-Plus, Version 4.0," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, in press. download or view as (272k)

Burmaster, D.E., "Review of Systat for Windows, Version 7.0," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 3(4):537-541(1997). download or view as (177k)

Burmaster, D.E. and D.M. Murray, "A Trivariate Distribution for the Height, Weight, and Fat of Adult Men," Risk Analysis,18(4):385-389(1998). download or view as (88k)

Burmaster, D.E., "Computations Illustrating Variability and Uncertainty," Alceon Technical and Policy Memorandum, 22 May 1997. download or view as (39k)

Burmaster, D.E., "LogNormal Distributions for Skin Area as a Function of Body Weight," Risk Analysis, 18(1):27-32(1998). download or view as (83k)

Burmaster, D.E., "LogNormal Distributions for Total Water Intake and Tap Water Intake by Pregnant and Lactating Women in the United States," Risk Analysis, 18(2):215-219(1998). download or view as (29k)

Burmaster, D.E., K.M. Thompson and D.M. Murray, "Comments on the US Environmental Protection Agency's Exposure Factors Handbook SAB Review Draft EPA/600/P-95/002B a,b,c, August 1996," 1996. (Available on-line only) download or view as (186k)

Vaughn, S.M., "A Review of Mathematica," Human and Ecological Risk Assesment, 3(3):343-349(1997).

Burmaster, D.E., "A LogNormal Distribution for Time Spent Showering," Risk Analysis, 18(1):33-35(1998). download or view as (15k)

Burmaster, D.E. and K.M. Thompson, "Fitting Second-Order Parametric Distributions to Data Using Maximum Likelihood Estimation," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 4(2):319-339(1998). download or view as (99k)

Burmaster, D.E. and K.M. Thompson, "The Draft Exposure Factors Handbook: EPA Can Probably Fix It," a Commentary Risk Policy Report, 3(1):35-38(1997).

Burmaster, D.E., "Computing Soil Cleanup Targets in the Probabilistic Framework," , 1996.

Burmaster, D.E. and K.M. Thompson, "Estimating Exposure Point Concentrations for Surface Soils for Use in Deterministic and Probabilistic Risk Assessments," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 3(3):363-384(1997). download or view as (168k)

Altshuler, K.B. and D.E. Burmaster, "Soil Gas Modeling: The Need for New Techniques and Better Information," Journal of Soil Contamination, 6(1):3-8(1997).

Burmaster, D.E. and J.C. Willson, "Risk Assessment for Chemicals in the Environment," The Encyclopedia of Biostatistics, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., ISBN: 0-471-97576-1, 1998. download or view as (56k)

Burmaster, D.E., and E.A.C. Crouch, "LogNormal Distributions for Body Weight as a Function of Age for Males and Females in the United States, 1976-1980," Risk Analysis, 17(4):499-506(1997). download or view as (47k)

Burmaster, D.E., "Using Beta Distributions Efficiently in a Probabilistic Exposure Assessment," Risk Analysis, in review.

Burmaster, D.E., and A.M. Wilson, "An Introduction to Second-Order Random Variables in Human Health Risk Assessments," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 2(4):892-919(1996). download or view as  (267k)

Magee, B., P. Anderson, and D.E. Burmaster, "Absorption Adjustment Factor (AAF) Distributions for Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs)," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 2(4):841-873(1996).

Trowbridge, P.R. and D.E. Burmaster, "A Parametric Distribution for the Fraction of Outdoor Soil in Indoor Dust," Journal of Soil Contamination, 6(2):161-168(1997). download or view as  (258k)

Burmaster, D.E. and D.A. Hull, "Using LogNormal Distributions and LogNormal Probability Plots in Probabilistic Risk Assessments," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 3(2):235-255(1997). download or view as  (100k)

Edelmann, K.G. and D.E. Burmaster, "Are All Distributions of Risk with the Same 95th Percentile Equally Acceptable?" Human & Ecological Risk Assessment, 3(2):223-234(1997).

Shaw, C.D. and D.E. Burmaster, "Distributions of Job Tenure for US Workers for Selected Industries and Occupations, " Human & Ecological Risk Assessment, 2(4):798-819(1996).

Burmaster, D.E., "Benefits and Costs of Using Probabilistic Techniques in Human Health Risk Assessments -- With an Emphasis on Site-Specific Risk Assessments," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 2(1):35-43(1996). download or view as  (22k)

Burmaster, D.E. and L.R. Bloomfield, "Mathematical Properties of the Risk Equation When Variability is Present," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 2(2):348-355(1996). download or view as  (22k)

Burmaster, D.E. and J.C. Willson, "Introduction to Human Risk Assessment: With an Emphasis on Contaminated Properties," Environment Reporter, 25(48):2431-2440 (1995).

von Stackelberg, K. and D.E. Burmaster, "A Discussion on the Use of Probabilistic Risk Assessment in Human Health Impact Assessment," Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 12(5/6):385-401 (1994).

Murray, D.M. and D.E. Burmaster, "Residential Air Exchange Rates in the United States: Empirical and Estimated Parametric Distributions by Season and Climatic Region," Risk Analysis, 15(4):459-465(1995).

Burmaster, D.E., "Introduction to Probabilistic Risk Assessment" Chapter 4.05 of Environmental Science Deskbook / Environmental Law Series, by James W. Conrad, Jr., West Group, ISBN 0-8366-1220-5 (1998).

Burmaster, D.E., K.J. Lloyd, and K.M. Thompson, "The Need for New Methods to BackCalculate Soil CleanUp Targets in Interval and Probabilistic Cancer Risk Assessments," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 1(1):89-100 (1995).

Burmaster, D.E. and K.M. Thompson, "BackCalculating CleanUp Targets in Probabilistic Risk Assessments When the Acceptability of Cancer Risk is Defined Under Different Risk Management Policies," Human and Ecological Risk Assessment , 1(1):101-120 (1995).

Burmaster, D.E. and D.A. Hull, "LogNormal Probability Plots as a Way to Distinguish and Visualize Variability and Uncertainty in a LogNormal Random Variable," Air & Waste Management Association's Annual Meeting, June, 1995.

Murray, D.M. and D.E. Burmaster, "Estimated Distributions for Average Daily Consumption of Total and Self-Caught Fish for Adults in Michigan Angler Households," Risk Analysis 14(4):513-519 (1994).

Burmaster, D.E. and P.D. Anderson, "Principles of Good Practice for the Use of Monte Carlo Techniques in Human Health and Ecological Risk Assessments," Risk Analysis 14(4):477-481 (1994).

Hattis, D.B. and D.E. Burmaster, "Assessment of Variability and Uncertainty Distributions for Practical Risk Analyses," Risk Analysis 14(5):713-730 (1994).

Ruffle, B., D.E. Burmaster, P.D. Anderson, and H.D. Gordon, "LogNormal Distributions for Fish Consumption by the General US Population," Risk Analysis 14(4):395-404 (1994).

Maxwell, N.I. and D.E. Burmaster, "A Simulation Model to Estimate A Distribution of Lipid Intake from Breast Milk during the First Year of Life," Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology 3(4):383-406 (1993).

Murray, D. M. and D.E. Burmaster, "Review of RiskQ: An Interactive Approach to Probability, Uncertainty, and Statistics for Use with Mathematica," Risk Analysis 13(4):479-482 (1993).

Burmaster, D.E. and R.H. Harris, "The Magnitude of Compounding Conservatisms in Superfund Risk Assessments", Risk Analysis 13(2):131-134 (1993).

Murray, D.M. and D.E. Burmaster, "Estimated Distributions for Total Body Surface Area of Men and Women in the United States," Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology 2(4):451-461 (1992).

von Stackelberg, K. and D.E. Burmaster, "Compounding Conservatisms - EPA's Health Risk Assessment Methods," HazMat World 6(3):46-47 (March 1993).

Brainard, J. and D.E. Burmaster, "Bivariate Distributions for Height and Weight of Men and Women in the United States," Risk Analysis 12(2):267-275 (1992).

Burmaster, D.E. and K. von Stackelberg, "A Discussion of the US EPA Methodology for Determining Water Quality Standards (WQS)," Quality Assurance, Good Practice, Regulation and Law 1(3):192-206 (June 1992).

Harris, R.H. and D.E. Burmaster, "Restoring Science to Superfund Risk Assessment," Toxics Law Reporter, Bureau of National Affairs, Washington, 25 March 1992.

Lloyd, K.J., K.M. Thompson, and D.E. Burmaster, "Probabilistic Techniques for BackCalculating Soil CleanUp Targets," in K.B. Hoddinott (ed.), Superfund Risk Assessment in Soil Contamination Studies (ASTM STP 1158). Philadelphia: American Society for Testing and Materials, 1992.

Menzie, C.A., D.E. Burmaster, J.S. Freshman, and C.A. Callahan, "Assessment of Methods for Estimating Ecological Risk in the Terrestrial Component: A Case Study at the Baird & McGuire Superfund Site, Holbrook, MA," Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry 11:245-260 (1992).

Menzie, C.A., D. Morgan, D.F. Unites, and D.E. Burmaster, "The Use of Environmental Endpoints and Test Methods for Evaluating the Need for and Efficacy of Soil Remediation," in K.B. Hoddinott and G.D. Knowles (eds.), Superfund Risk Assessment in Soil Contamination Studies (ASTM STP 1158). Philadelphia: American Society for Testing and Materials, 1992.

Roseberry, A.M. and D.E. Burmaster, "LogNormal Distributions for Water Intake by Children and Adults," Risk Analysis 12(1):99-104 (1992).

Thompson, K.M., D.E. Burmaster, and E.A.C. Crouch, "Monte Carlo Techniques for Quantitative Uncertainty Analysis in Public Health Risk Assessments," Risk Analysis 12(1):53-63 (1992).

Burmaster, D.E. and J.H. Lehr, "It's Time to Make Risk Assessment a Science," Ground Water Monitoring Review XI(3):5-15 (summer 1991).

Burmaster, D.E. and N.I. Maxwell, "Time- and Loading-Dependence in the McKone Model for Dermal Uptake of Organic Chemicals from a Soil Matrix," Risk Analysis 11(3):491-497 (1991).

Burmaster, D.E., C.A. Menzie, J.S. Freshman, J.A. Burris, N.I. Maxwell, and S.R. Drew, "Assessment of Methods for Estimating Aquatic Hazard at Superfund-type Sites: A Cautionary Tale," Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry 10(6):827-842 (1991).

Burmaster, D.E. and K. von Stackelberg, "Using Monte Carlo Simulations in Public Health Risk Assessment: Estimating and Presenting Full Distributions of Risk," Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology 1(4):491-512 (1991).

Callahan, C.A., C.A. Menzie, D.E. Burmaster, D.C. Wilborn, and T. Ernst, "On-Site Methods for Assessing Chemical Impact on the Soil Environment Using Earthworms: A Case Study at the Baird & McGuire Superfund Site, Holbrook, Massachusetts," Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry 10(6):817-826 (1991).

Maxwell, N.I., D.E. Burmaster, and D. Ozonoff, "Trihalomethanes and Maximum Contaminant Levels: The Significance of Inhalation and Dermal Exposures to Chloroform in Household Water," Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology 14:297-312 (1991).

Roseberry, A.M. and D.E. Burmaster, "A Note: Estimating Exposure Concentrations of Lipophilic Organic Chemicals to Humans via Raw Finfish Fillets," Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology 1(4):513-521 (1991).

Thompson, K.M. and D.E. Burmaster, "Parametric Distributions for Soil Ingestion by Children," Risk Analysis 11(2):339-42 (1991).

Burmaster, D.E. and E.C. Udell, "A Review of Crystal Ball." (software review), Risk Analysis 10(2):343-345 (1990).